Regional Growth and Migration: A Japan-U.S. Comparison

Regional Growth and Migration: A Japan-U.S. Comparison
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区域增长和移民:日美比较

DOI:
10.3386/w4038
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发表时间:
1992
期刊:
--
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Xavier Sala
Xavier Sala
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
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作者:
R. Barro;Xavier Sala

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贫穷国家的经济增长速度比富裕国家快吗?这一重要的经济问题(我们称之为[beta]-收敛)在本文中使用两个区域数据集进行了分析:日本的47个县和美国的48个州。我们发现了两国趋同的明显证据:贫穷的县和州增长更快。我们还发现存在区域内和区域间的趋同。我们分析了县和州之间的横截面标准差。我们发现,这两个国家都出现了长期的下降(我们将这种现象称为[sigma]-趋同)。最后,我们研究了区域内迁移率的决定因素。找到惊人的相似之处。在这两个国家,净移民率对初始收入对数的反应略高。025,这表明人口对收入差异的调整速度缓慢(尽管非常显著)。我们发现几乎没有证据支持人口流动是我们发现各经济体趋同的原因这一论点。
Do poor economies grow faster than rich ones? This important economic question (which we call [beta]-convergence) is analyzed in this paper using two regional data sets: 47 Prefectures in Japan and 48 States of the U.S.. We find clear evidence of convergence in both countries: poor prefectures and states grow faster. We also find that there is intraregional as well as interregional convergence. We analyze the cross sectional standard deviation across prefectures and states. We find that in both countries there has been a long term decline (a phenomenon that we call [sigma]-convergence). Finally we study the determinants of the rates of regional in-migration and, again. find striking similarities. In both countries, the reaction of net in-migration rates to the log of initial income is slightly above .025, which indicates a slow (although very significant) speed of population adjustment to income differentials. We find little evidence in favor of the argument that population movements are the reason why we find convergence across economies.