MORTALITY PROBABILITY-MODELS FOR PATIENTS IN THE INTENSIVE-CARE UNIT FOR 48 OR 72 HOURS - A PROSPECTIVE, MULTICENTER STUDY
MORTALITY PROBABILITY-MODELS FOR PATIENTS IN THE INTENSIVE-CARE UNIT FOR 48 OR 72 HOURS - A PROSPECTIVE, MULTICENTER STUDY
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DOI：
10.1097/00003246-199409000-00003
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发表时间：
1994-09-01
影响因子：
8.8
通讯作者：
RUE, M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
LEMESHOW, S;KLAR, J;RUE, M
目的：开发死亡率概率模型 (MPM II) 系统中的模型，以估计重症监护病房 (ICU) 48 小时和 72 小时的住院死亡率概率，并测试为 24 小时在 ICU 使用而开发的 24 小时死亡率概率模型 (MPM(24)) 是否可以在 24 小时后每天使用。 设计：一项前瞻性、多中心研究，旨在开发和验证模型，使用连续入院队列。设置：马萨诸塞州和纽约的 6 个成人医疗和外科 ICU 进行调整，以反映 12 个国家的 137 个 ICU。患者：研究了马萨诸塞州/纽约 ICU 的连续入院 (n = 6,290)。在这些患者中，有 3,023 名和 2,233 名患者留在 ICU，并分别在 48 小时和 72 小时时拥有完整数据。患者
Objective: To develop models in the Mortality Probability Model (MPM II) system to estimate the probability of hospital mortality at 48 and 72 hrs in the intensive care unit (ICU), and to test whether the 24-hr Mortality Probability Model (MPM(24)), developed for use at 24 hrs in the ICU, can be used on a daily basis beyond 24 hrs.Design: A prospective, multicenter study to develop and validate models, using a cohort of consecutive admissions.Setting: Six adult medical and surgical ICUs in Massachusetts and New York adjusted to reflect 137 ICUs in 12 countries.Patients: Consecutive admissions (n = 6,290) to the Massachusetts/New York ICUs were studied. Of these patients, 3,023 and 2,233 patients remained in the ICU and had complete data at 48 and 72 hrs, respectively. Patients