Climate Variability: Nonlinear and Random Effects
Climate Variability: Nonlinear and Random Effects
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气候变化：非线性和随机效应
DOI：
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发表时间：
2011
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
M. Ghil
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Ghil
非线性和随机效应在大气、海洋和气候科学中普遍存在。本文从动力系统理论及其分叉的观点统一处理了这种效应。能量平衡模型被用来说明多重平衡，而在温盐环流中的多年代际振荡说明了从稳定状态到周期性行为的转变。随机效应被引入到随机动力系统的设置中，它允许对非线性和随机性进行统一处理。这种处理是适用于随机扰动版本的经典洛伦兹对流模型。大气科学百科全书，第2版，G.R. North，F. Zhang和J. Pyle（编辑）爱思唯尔，接受
Nonlinear and random effects are pervasive in the atmospheric, oceanic and climate sciences. This article gives a unified treatment of such effects from the point of view of the theory of dynamical systems and of their bifurcations. Energy balance models are used to illustrate multiple equilibria, while multi-decadal oscillations in the thermohaline circulation illustrate the transition from steady states to periodic behavior. Random effects are introduced in the setting of random dynamical systems, which permit a unified treatment of both nonlinearity and stochasticity. This treatment is applied to a stochastically perturbed version of the classical Lorenz convection model. Encyclopedia of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2 edition, G.R. North, F. Zhang and J. Pyle (Eds.) Elsevier, accepted