Corrigendum: Coding for Life: Designing a Platform for Projecting and Protecting Global Biodiversity
Corrigendum: Coding for Life: Designing a Platform for Projecting and Protecting Global Biodiversity
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勘误表：为生命编码：设计一个用于预测和保护全球生物多样性的平台
DOI：
10.1093/biosci/biab127
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
10.1
通讯作者：
Gravel, Dominique
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Urban, Mark C;Travis, Justin M;Zurell, Damaris;Thompson, Patrick L;Synes, Nicholas W;Scarpa, Alice;Peres-Neto, Pedro R;Malchow, Anne-Kathleen;James, Patrick M;Gravel, Dominique
限制生物多样性和大自然对人类贡献的进一步毁灭性损失的时间已经不多了。解决这一危机需要准确预测哪些物种和生态系统面临的风险最大，以确保有效利用有限的养护和管理资源。我们回顾了现有的生物多样性预测模型，并发现了问题的差距。目前的模型通常不容易为其他物种或系统重新配置，忽略了关键的生物过程，并且不能适应地球系统动力学的反馈。为了填补这些空白，我们设想了一个适应性强，可访问和通用的生物多样性建模平台，可以项目基本的生物多样性变量，探索不同的社会经济情景的影响，并比较保护和管理策略。我们设计了一个实现这一愿景的路线图，并证明了建立这个生物多样性预测平台是可能的和实用的。
Time is running out to limit further devastating losses of biodiversity and nature's contributions to humans. Addressing this crisis requires accurate predictions about which species and ecosystems are most at risk to ensure efficient use of limited conservation and management resources. We review existing biodiversity projection models and discover problematic gaps. Current models usually cannot easily be reconfigured for other species or systems, omit key biological processes, and cannot accommodate feedbacks with Earth system dynamics. To fill these gaps, we envision an adaptable, accessible, and universal biodiversity modeling platform that can project essential biodiversity variables, explore the implications of divergent socioeconomic scenarios, and compare conservation and management strategies. We design a roadmap for implementing this vision and demonstrate that building this biodiversity forecasting platform is possible and practical.