Irresistible forces, immovable objects: post-industrial welfare states confront permanent austerity
Irresistible forces, immovable objects: post-industrial welfare states confront permanent austerity
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不可抗拒的力量，不可移动的物体：后工业化福利国家面临永久性紧缩
DOI：
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发表时间：
1998
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
P. Pierson
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
P. Pierson
富裕民主国家的福利国家面临着严重的预算压力、日益增长的政策僵化和日益增长的政治争议。虽然这些发展往往归因于全球经济的变化，但至少有三个后工业化转型同样重要：服务业的相对增长、政府承诺的成熟和人口老龄化。这些转型创造了一个持续紧缩的环境，但大多数国家对公共社会服务的支持力度使得废除福利国家的可能性很小。相反，成功的改革很可能以妥协为基础，并采取社会契约的重组和现代化的形式。文章最后概述了一个研究议程的调查这一改革过程。
ABSTRACT The welfare states of affluent democracies face severe budgetary strain, increasing policy rigidities, and growing political controversy. Although these developments are often attributed to shifts in the global economy, three post-industrial transitions have been at least as important: the relative growth of the service sector, the maturation of governmental commitments, and population aging. These transitions create an environment of ongoing austerity, but the strength of support for public social provision in most countries makes the dismantling of the welfare state highly unlikely. Instead, successful reform is likely to be based on compromise and to take the form of restructuring and modernization of the social contract. The article concludes by outlining a research agenda for the investigation of this reform process.