Life cycle schooling and dynamic selection bias: Models and evidence for five cohorts of American males
Life cycle schooling and dynamic selection bias: Models and evidence for five cohorts of American males
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DOI：
10.1086/250010
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发表时间：
1998-04-01
影响因子：
8.2
通讯作者：
Heckman, JJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cameron, SV;Heckman, JJ
本文研究了在许多社会中发现的一个经验规律：家庭对从一个年级过渡到下一个年级的可能性的影响在教育水平较高时会减少。我们检验了用于建立经验规律性的统计模型，以及经常用于使其合理化的直观行为解释，我们表明，隐式经济模型假设了近视。直观的解释模型是通过对数据施加任意的分布假设来确定的。我们产生了一个替代的选择理论模型，具有更少的参数，合理化相同的数据，而不是基于任意的分布假设。
This paper examines an empirical regularity found in many societies: that family influences on the probability of transiting from one grade level to the next diminish at higher levels of education. We examine the statistical model used to establish the empirical regularity and the intuitive behavioral interpretation often used to rationalize it. We show that the implicit economic model assumes myopia. The intuitive interpretive model is identified only by imposing arbitrary distributional assumptions onto the data. We produce an alternative choice-theoretic model with fewer parameters that rationalizes the same data and is not based on arbitrary distributional assumptions.