A local coastal adaptation pathway
A local coastal adaptation pathway
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DOI：
10.1038/nclimate2383
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发表时间：
2014-12-01
影响因子：
30.7
通讯作者：
Hurlimann, A.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Barnett, J.;Graham, S.;Hurlimann, A.
地方政府没有适应海平面上升，因为很难就改变的必要性达成共识，这是实施海平面上升的最佳方式。从理论上讲，适应途径可以打破这一僵局。适应路径是由环境条件变化触发的一系列相互关联的战略，在这些战略中，最初的决定可以具有较低的遗憾，并为子孙后代保留选择。我们报道了一个项目，该项目试图从经验上测试适应海平面上升的当地路径的相关性和可行性。我们发现，具有社会影响的变化的触发因素对当地人来说是突出的，发展一条当地适应途径有助于在不同的选民之间建立共识。我们的结果表明，适应途径在当地范围内是可行的，为开始适应海平面上升的长期过程提供了一种低风险、低成本的方式。
Local governments are not adapting to sea-level rise because it is difficult to build consensus on the need for change the best way to implement it. In theory, adaptation pathways can resolve this impasse. Adaptation pathways are a sequence of linked strategies that are triggered by a change in environmental condition, and in which initial decisions can have low regrets and preserve options for future generations. We report on a project that sought to empirically test the relevance and feasibility of a local pathway for adapting to sea-level rise. We find that triggers of change that have social impacts are salient to local people, and developing a local adaptation pathway helps build consensus among diverse constituencies. Our results show that adaptation pathways are feasible at the local scale, offering a low-risk, low-cost way to begin the long process of adaptation to sea-level rise.