Operating characteristics of prostate-specific antigen in men with an initial PSA level of 3.0 ng/mL or lower
Operating characteristics of prostate-specific antigen in men with an initial PSA level of 3.0 ng/mL or lower
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DOI:
10.1001/jama.294.1.66
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发表时间:
2005-07-06
影响因子:
120.7
通讯作者:
Coltman, CA
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Thompson, IM;Ankerst, DP;Coltman, CA
Context Three fourths of US men older than 50 years have been screened with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) for prostate cancer.Objective To estimate the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for PSA.Design, Setting, and Participants Calculation of PSA ROC curves in the placebo group of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, a randomized, prospective study conducted from 1993 to 2003 at 221 US centers. Participants were 18 882 healthy men aged 55 years or older without prostate cancer and with PSA levels less than or equal to 3.0 ng/mL and normal digital rectal examination results, followed up for 7 years with annual PSA measurement and digital rectal examination. If PSA level exceeded 4.0 ng/mL or rectal examination result was abnormal, a prostate biopsy was recommended. After 7 years of study participation, an end-of-study prostate biopsy was recommended in all cancer-free men.Main Outcome Measures Operating characteristics of PSA for prostate cancer detection, including sensitivity, specificity, and ROC curve.Results Of 8575 men in the placebo group with at least 1 PSA measurement and digital rectal examination in the same year, 5587 (65.2%) had had at least 1 biopsy; of these, 1225 (21.9%) were diagnosed with prostate cancer. Of 1213 cancers with Gleason grade recorded, 250 (20.6%) were Gleason grade 7 or greater and 57 (4.7%) were Gleason grade 8 or greater. The areas under the ROC curve (AUC) for PSA to discriminate any prostate cancer vs no cancer, Gleason grade 7 or greater cancer vs no or lower-grade cancer, and Gleason grade 8 or greater cancer vs no or lower-grade cancer were 0.678 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.666-0.689), 0.782 (95% Cl, 0.748-0.816), and 0.827 (95% Cl, 0.761-0.893), respectively (all P values