Democracy and State Capacity: Complements or Substitutes?

Democracy and State Capacity: Complements or Substitutes?
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民主与国家能力:补充还是替代?

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发表时间:
2015
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通讯作者:
Jonathan K. Hanson
Jonathan K. Hanson
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Jonathan K. Hanson

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在社会福利方面,我们并不清楚究竟是民主重要,还是一个有能力的国家重要。具体而言,大多数研究都没有考虑民主的影响可能受到国家有效提供服务能力差异的制约或掩盖。本文认为,更好的发展成果可以来自民主或国家能力,但高水平的民主和国家能力的结合是不协同的。1965-2010年期间涵盖多达162个国家的时间序列横截面数据集的经验证据支持以下结论,即这些因素在改善入学率和婴儿死亡率方面部分相互替代。这些发现为Ross(Am J Polit Sci 50(4):860-874,2006)关于民主是否有利于穷人的问题提供了一个更乐观的答案。一旦考虑到国家能力,我们就会发现民主会带来更好的发展成果。
When it comes to social welfare, we do not have clear understanding of whether it is more important to have democracy or a capable state. Specifically, most studies do not consider the possibility that effects of democracy are conditioned or obscured by differences in the capabilities of states to deliver services effectively. This article contends that better developmental outcomes can result from either democracy or state capacity, but the combination of high levels of both democracy and state capacity is not synergistic. Empirical evidence from a time-series-cross-sectional dataset covering up to 162 countries during the 1965–2010 time period supports the conclusion that these factors partially substitute for each other with respect to improving outcomes in school enrollment and infant mortality. These findings provide a more optimistic answer to the query of Ross (Am J Polit Sci 50(4): 860–874, 2006) as to whether democracy is good for the poor. Once accounting for state capacity, we find that democracy leads to better development outcomes.