Now what do people know about global climate change? Survey studies of educated laypeople.

Now what do people know about global climate change? Survey studies of educated laypeople.
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DOI:
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01448.x
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发表时间:
2010-10
期刊:
Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Morgan MG
Morgan MG
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Reynolds TW;Bostrom A;Read D;Morgan MG

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1992年,宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡的一项基于心理模型的调查显示,受过教育的门外汉往往将全球气候变化和平流层臭氧消耗混为一谈,似乎相对没有意识到人为二氧化碳排放在全球变暖中的作用。这项研究将这些调查结果与2009年的数据进行了比较,这些数据来自一组同样受过良好教育的门外汉,他们对同一调查工具做出了回应。毫不奇怪,在政治和主流媒体对气候变化进行了十年的爆炸性关注之后,2009年的调查受访者对一些气候变化原因表现出更高的认识和理解。最值得注意的是,与1992年不同,2009年的受访者很少提到臭氧消耗是全球变暖的原因。他们也更有可能正确地自愿将能源使用作为气候变化的一个主要原因;许多人在2009年也将自然过程和历史气候周期列为关键原因。当被问及如何解决气候变化问题时,1992年的答复者无法区分一般的“良好环境做法”和应对气候变化的具体行动,2009年的答复者已经开始认识到其中的差异。尽管如此,2009年的许多人仍然对气候变化有错误的看法,似乎仍然没有充分认识到一些关键事实,如全球变暖主要是由于大气中二氧化碳浓度的增加,而这种二氧化碳的最重要来源是化石燃料的燃烧。
In 1992 a mental models-based survey in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, revealed that educated laypeople often conflated global climate change and stratospheric ozone depletion, and appeared relatively unaware of the role of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions in global warming. This study compares those survey results with 2009 data from a sample of similarly well-educated laypeople responding to the same survey instrument. Not surprisingly, following a decade of explosive attention to climate change in politics and in the mainstream media, survey respondents in 2009 showed higher awareness and comprehension of some climate change causes. Most notably, unlike those in 1992, 2009 respondents rarely mentioned ozone depletion as a cause of global warming. They were also far more likely to correctly volunteer energy-use as a major cause of climate change; many in 2009 also cited natural processes and historical climatic cycles as key causes. When asked how to address the problem of climate change, while respondents in 1992 were unable to differentiate between general “good environmental practices” and actions specific to addressing climate change, respondents in 2009 have begun to appreciate the differences. Despite this, many individuals in 2009 still had incorrect beliefs about climate change, and still did not appear to fully appreciate key facts such as that global warming is primarily due to increased concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and the single most important source of this carbon dioxide is the combustion of fossil fuels.
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