Finding the niche: A review of market assessment methodologies for rural electrification with small scale wind power
Finding the niche: A review of market assessment methodologies for rural electrification with small scale wind power
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DOI：
10.1016/j.rser.2020.110240
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发表时间：
2020-11
影响因子：
15.9
通讯作者：
J. Leary;M. Czyrnek-Delêtre;Alfred Alsop;A. Eales;L. Marandin;M. Org;M. Craig;Willington Ortiz;C. Casillas;J. Persson;C. Dienst;E. Brown;A. While;Jonathan Cloke;K. Latoufis
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文献类型：
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作者：
J. Leary;M. Czyrnek-Delêtre;Alfred Alsop;A. Eales;L. Marandin;M. Org;M. Craig;Willington Ortiz;C. Casillas;J. Persson;C. Dienst;E. Brown;A. While;Jonathan Cloke;K. Latoufis
太阳能光伏发电在全球南方的大规模推广使数百万人能够用上电力。在适当的情况下，小型风力涡轮机 (SWT) 可以起到补充作用，提供在太阳能资源不足时（夜间、季风季节、冬季等）发电的潜力，并增加可本地制造的总能源系统的比例。然而，许多背景因素严重影响该技术的可行性，例如风力资源本身的极端变化以及当地技术支持的可用性。因此，在每个新环境中进行详细的市场分析就显得尤为重要。风力发电市场评估方法 (WEMAM) 是一种多尺度、跨学科的方法，用于确定小风电可以为农村电气化做出宝贵贡献的利基环境。本文旨在通过对现有市场评估方法的严格审查来为 WEMAM 的发展提供信息。通过将 WEMAM 分解为其组成部分，反思其迄今为止的实际应用并借鉴文献中的见解，突出了它可以继续发展的机会。主要机遇包括将重点转向发展成果；创建社区原型；高潜力地区的本地化研究；拟议干预措施的情景建模和 MCDA 排名；参与式市场测绘；并应用社会技术转型理论来了解小型风能市场如何突破主流。
The mass roll out of solar PV across the Global South has enabled electricity access for millions of people. In the right context, Small Wind Turbines (SWTs) can be complementary, offering the potential to generate at times of low solar resource (night, monsoon season, winter, etc.) and increasing the proportion of the total energy system that can be manufactured locally. However, many contextual factors critically affect the viability of the technology, such as the extreme variability in the wind resource itself and the local availability of technical support. Therefore, performing a detailed market analysis in each new context is much more important. The Wind Empowerment Market Assessment Methodology (WEMAM) is a multi-scalar, transdisciplinary methodology for identifying the niche contexts where small wind can make a valuable contribution to rural electrification. This paper aims to inform the development of WEMAM with a critical review of existing market assessment methodologies. By breaking down WEMAM into its component parts, reflecting upon its practical applications to date and drawing upon insights from the literature, opportunities where it could continue to evolve are highlighted. Key opportunities include shifting the focus towards development outcomes; creating community archetypes; localised studies in high potential regions; scenario modelling and MCDA ranking of proposed interventions; participatory market mapping; and applying socio-technical transitions theory to understand how the small wind niche can break through into the mainstream.