More on the Seasonal Determinants of Turnout: Holidays and French Presidential Elections
More on the Seasonal Determinants of Turnout: Holidays and French Presidential Elections
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DOI：
10.1057/palgrave.fp.8200123
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发表时间：
2007-07-01
期刊：
影响因子：
1
通讯作者：
Ben Lakhdar, Christian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Dubois, Eric;Ben Lakhdar, Christian
这篇文章旨在测试一个在学者和记者中广泛传播的命题，即假期会对选举投票率产生影响。据我们所知，在法国案件中尚未调查这种可能性。我们收集的过去三次总统选举的数据强烈支持假期对投票率的负面影响。由于投票率和左翼选票是联系在一起的，这种负面影响有助于解释2002年主要左翼候选人的失败，尽管它并不是唯一的因素。
This article aims to test a proposition widely spread among scholars and journalists according to which holidays would have an impact on electoral turnout. To our knowledge, this possibility has not been investigated in the French case yet. Our data, gathered for the last three presidential elections, strongly support a negative effect of holidays on turnout. Since turnout and left vote are linked, this negative influence helps to explain the defeat of the main left-wing candidate in 2002 even though it does not represent the sole factor.