Economic Crisis and Electoral Participation in European Elections. An Assessment of the Relationship

Economic Crisis and Electoral Participation in European Elections. An Assessment of the Relationship
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经济危机和欧洲选举中的选举参与。

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发表时间:
2016
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通讯作者:
D. D. Mauro
D. D. Mauro
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文献类型:
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作者:
D. D. Mauro

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本文主要探讨经济与选举参与之间的关系。具体来说,它旨在解决以下问题:当前的经济危机对欧洲选民投票率的影响是什么?根据文献,经济原因在选举参与和人们的政党选择中都起着重要的作用。然而,像欧洲在过去十年中所经历的那样,严重的经济衰退的影响只是部分为人所知。经济危机是动员还是削弱了选举参与?这有什么影响吗?为了评估经济的作用,这项工作将采用欧洲选举研究的最后三波数据集,并将它们与国家经济指标结合起来。相互竞争的多层模型的结果证实,经济危机在个人、国家和态度层面的影响有限,尤其是对2014年欧洲议会选举的影响。
This article focuses on the relationship between the economy and electoral participation. Specifically, it aims to address the following question: what is the effect of the current economic crisis on European electoral turnout? According to the literature, economic reasons play an important role in both electoral participation and people’s party choices. The effects of a severe economic downturn, as the one ex-perienced in Europe during the last decade, are however only partially known. Does the economic crisis mobilize or weaken electoral participation? Does it have any impact at all? In order to assess the role of the economy, this work will employ the last three waves of the European Election Studies datasets and combine them with national economic indicators. Findings from competing multilevel models confirm a limited effect of the economic crisis at the personal, national and attitudinal level, particularly for the 2014 elections of the European Parliament.