Short-run economic effects of the Scottish smoking ban
Short-run economic effects of the Scottish smoking ban
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DOI：
10.1093/ije/dyl258
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发表时间：
2007-02-01
影响因子：
7.7
通讯作者：
Machin, Stephen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Adda, Jerome;Berlinski, Samuel;Machin, Stephen
背景 我们评估了苏格兰禁烟令对酒吧的短期经济影响。此前关于禁烟令对酒店业影响的研究结果主要集中在美国。这些研究大多发现，从长远来看，此类立法不会对酒店业产生负面经济影响。然而，与美国相比，英国酒馆的社会用途存在差异，可能会导致不同的结果。方法我们采用了准实验研究设计，比较了苏格兰禁烟令实施前后苏格兰酒馆的销售额和顾客数量，以及英国边境未实施禁烟令的对照组。为了进行此分析，我们通过配额抽样的电话采访收集了 2724 家酒吧的数据，其中苏格兰 1590 家，英格兰北部 1134 家。 结果 我们发现，苏格兰禁令导致销售额下降 10% [P=0.02，95% 置信区间 (0) -19% 至 -2%]，顾客减少 14%（P=0.02，95% CI -26% 至 -2%）。 -2%)。结论我们的研究表明，苏格兰禁烟令对酒吧产生了负面的经济影响，至少在短期内是这样，部分原因是顾客数量下降。
Background We estimated the short-run economic impacts of the Scottish smoking ban on public houses. Previous findings on the effect of smoking bans on the hospitality sector have mainly focused on the United States. These studies have mostly found no negative economic effects of such legislation on the hospitality sector in the long run. However, differences in the social use of public houses in Great Britain in comparison with the United States may lead to different findings.Methods We used a quasi-experimental research design that compared the sales and number of customers in public houses located in Scotland before and after the Scottish smoking ban was introduced, relative to a control group of establishments across the English border where no ban was imposed. To perform this analysis, we collected data on 2724 pubs, 1590 in Scotland and 1134 in Northern England by phone interviews using quota sampling.Results We found that the Scottish ban led to a 10% decrease in sales [P=0.02, 95% confidence interval (0) -19% to -2%] and a 14% decrease in customers (P=0.02, 95% CI -26% to -2%).Conclusion our study suggests that the Scottish smoking ban had a negative economic impact on public houses, at least in the short run, due in part to a drop in the number of customers.