Electric load forecasting methods: Tools for decision making
Electric load forecasting methods: Tools for decision making
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ejor.2009.01.062
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发表时间：
2009-12-16
影响因子：
6.4
通讯作者：
Pickl, Stefan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hahn, Heiko;Meyer-Nieberg, Silja;Pickl, Stefan
对于电力部门的决策者来说，决策过程是复杂的，必须考虑到几个不同的层面。这些包括例如设施规划和发电厂的最佳日常运营。这些决定针对的是时间范围和系统的各个方面，差别很大。为了完成这些任务，负荷预测是非常重要的。因此，找到合适的方法和模式是决策过程的核心。由于能源市场的放松管制，负荷预测变得更加重要。在这篇文章中，我们给出了各种模型和方法来预测未来的负荷需求的概述。(C)2009 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。
For decision makers in the electricity sector, the decision process is complex with several different levels that have to be taken into consideration. These comprise for instance the planning of facilities and an optimal day-to-day operation of the power plant. These decisions address widely different time-horizons and aspects of the system. For accomplishing these tasks load forecasts are very important. Therefore, finding an appropriate approach and model is at core of the decision process. Due to the deregulation of energy markets, load forecasting has gained even more importance. In this article, we give an overview over the various models and methods used to predict future load demands. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.