Two waves of coeliac disease incidence in Sweden: a nationwide population-based cohort study from 1990 to 2015.

Two waves of coeliac disease incidence in Sweden: a nationwide population-based cohort study from 1990 to 2015.
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DOI:
10.1136/gutjnl-2021-324209
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发表时间:
2022-06
期刊:
GUT
影响因子:
24.5
通讯作者:
Ludvigsson, Jonas F.
Ludvigsson, Jonas F.
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bergman, David;King, James;Lebwohl, Benjamin;Clements, Mark S.;Roelstraete, Bjorn;Kaplan, Gilaad G.;Green, Peter H. R.;Murray, Joseph A.;Ludvigsson, Jonas F.

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评估瑞典活检证实的乳糜泻(CD)的发生率,并检查随时间推移十二指肠/空肠活检正常粘膜的发生率,作为CD意识和调查的代表。1990-2015年基于活检报告的全国人群队列研究,表明十二指肠/空肠中存在绒毛萎缩(VA)或正常粘膜。我们确定了44771例(63%女性)的活检报告表明VA和412279例(62%女性)的活检报告表明正常粘膜(没有事先活检表明VA)。CD诊断时的中位年龄为28岁。研究期间的平均年龄标准化发病率为19.0/100 000人-年(95% CI 17.3 - 20.8)。1994年男女发病率均达到高峰,2002-2003年女性和2006年男性的发病率分别达到第二个高峰。发生CD的终生风险为1.8%(女性2.3%,男性1.4%)。在2015年之前,活检显示十二指肠/空肠粘膜正常的比率平行上升。在瑞典,女性CD发病率在2002-2003年之前增加,男性在2006年之前增加。从那时起,CD的发病率下降,尽管增加十二指肠/空肠活检,这表明提高认识和调查不太可能提高瑞典的发病率。在一生中,瑞典44名女性中有1名和72名男性中有1名预计被诊断为CD,表明疾病的社会负担相对较高。
To assess the incidence of biopsy-verified coeliac disease (CD) in Sweden and examine the incidence of duodenal/jejunal biopsies with normal mucosa over time as a proxy for CD awareness and investigation. Nationwide population-based cohort study 1990–2015 based on biopsy reports indicating villous atrophy (VA) or normal mucosa in the duodenum/jejunum. We identified 44 771 individuals (63% females) with a biopsy report specifying VA and 412 279 (62% females) with a biopsy report indicating normal mucosa (without a prior biopsy indicating VA). The median age at diagnosis of CD was 28 years. The mean age-standardised incidence rate during the study period was 19.0 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 17.3 to 20.8). The incidence reached a peak in 1994 for both sexes and a second higher peak in 2002–2003 for females and in 2006 for males. The lifetime risk of developing CD was 1.8% (2.3% in females and 1.4% in males). Prior to 2015, there was a parallel rise in rates for biopsies showing normal duodenal/jejunal mucosa. In Sweden, the incidence of CD increased until 2002–2003 in females and until 2006 in males. Since then, the incidence of CD has declined despite increasing duodenal/jejunal biopsies, suggesting that increased awareness and investigation are unlikely to elevate the incidence of the disease in Sweden. Across a lifetime, 1 in 44 females and 1 in 72 males are expected to be diagnosed with CD in Sweden, indicating a relatively high societal burden of disease.
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