Consumer preferences for alternative fuel vehicles: A discrete choice analysis
Consumer preferences for alternative fuel vehicles: A discrete choice analysis
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DOI：
10.1016/j.trd.2013.07.002
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发表时间：
2013-12-01
影响因子：
7.6
通讯作者：
Madlener, Reinhard
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hackbarth, Andre;Madlener, Reinhard
本文利用德国陈述偏好离散选择数据分析了私人使用替代燃料汽车的潜在需求。通过应用混合logit模型，我们发现，采用替代燃料汽车的最敏感的群体包括年轻，受过良好教育，环保意识的汽车买家，谁有可能在家里插上他们的车，并进行多次城市旅行。此外，许多家庭愿意为更高的燃料经济性和减排、更好的练习场和充电基础设施以及享受车辆免税和免费停车或公共汽车专用道而支付大量费用。情景结果表明，传统汽车将保持其在市场上的主导地位。最后，将电池电动汽车的续航里程提高到与所有其他车辆相当的水平，与多项措施的政策干预方案具有相同的影响。(C)2013爱思唯尔有限公司保留所有权利。
This paper analyzes the potential demand for privately used alternative fuel vehicles using German stated preference discrete choice data. By applying a mixed logit model, we find that the most sensitive group for the adoption of alternative fuel vehicles embraces younger, well-educated, and environmentally aware car buyers, who have the possibility to plug-in their car at home, and undertake numerous urban trips. Moreover, many households are willing to pay considerable amounts for greater fuel economy and emission reduction, improved driving range and charging infrastructure, as well as for enjoying vehicle tax exemptions and free parking or bus lane access. The scenario results suggest that conventional vehicles will maintain their dominance in the market. Finally, an increase in the battery electric vehicles' range to a level comparable with all other vehicles has the same impact as a multiple measures policy intervention package. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.