Heterogeneity and Parsimony in Intertemporal Choice
Heterogeneity and Parsimony in Intertemporal Choice
复制标题
跨期选择中的异质性和简约性
作者：
Michel Regenwetter;Daniel R. Cavagnaro;Anna Popova;Ying Guo;Christopher E. Zwilling;Shiau Hong Lim;J. Stevens
跨期选择的行为理论涉及许多活动的部分。大多数描述性理论都对时间延迟和奖励如何被感知、比较和/或组合成偏好或效用进行了建模。大多数行为研究都忽略了阐明这些结构如何转化为异质的可观察选择。我们考虑几个广泛的模型的传递跨期偏好和联合收割机这些与几个数学形式，但非常普遍的，异质性模型。我们评估了20个概率模型的跨期选择使用二进制选择数据从两个大规模的实验。我们的分析记录了异质性和简约性之间的相互作用，在会计经验数据：我们发现的证据，异质性的个人和跨刺激集，可以容纳不同复杂性的传递模型。在我们的数据中，我们没有发现系统性违反传递性。今后的工作应继续解决简约性和异质性之间的复杂权衡问题。
Behavioral theories of intertemporal choice involve many moving parts. Most descriptive theories model how time delays and rewards are perceived, compared, and/or combined into preferences or utilities. Most behavioral studies neglect to spell out how such constructs translate into heterogeneous observable choices. We consider several broad models of transitive intertemporal preference and combine these with several mathematically formal, yet very general, models of heterogeneity. We evaluate 20 probabilistic models of intertemporal choice using binary choice data from two large-scale experiments. Our analysis documents the interplay between heterogeneity and parsimony in accounting for empirical data: We find evidence for heterogeneity across individuals and across stimulus sets that can be accommodated with transitive models of varying complexity. We do not find systematic violations of transitivity in our data. Future work should continue to tackle the complex trade-off between parsimony and heterogeneity.
影响因子：
22.4
作者：
Green, L;Myerson, J
通讯作者：
Myerson, J
QTest：二元选择理论的定量测试。
DOI：
10.1037/dec0000007
发表时间：
2014
期刊：
Decisions
影响因子：
--
作者：
Regenwetter,Michel;Davis-Stober,ClintinP;Lim,ShiauHong;Guo,Ying;Popova,Anna;Zwilling,Chris;Cha,Yun-Shil;Messner,William
通讯作者：
Messner,William