Estimation of the Economic Damages Caused by the Hanshin- Awaji Great Earthquake
Estimation of the Economic Damages Caused by the Hanshin- Awaji Great Earthquake
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阪神淡路大地震造成的经济损失估算
DOI：
10.2208/journalip.14.149
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发表时间：
1997
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Se
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Takahashi;A. Ando;Se
本研究提出了一个模型来估计坂神淡路大地震造成的损失。该模型将投入产出框架与计量经济模型相结合，估算了建筑物损失和交通设施破坏的间接损失。日本根据损失的严重程度分为四个地区。从收入损失、失业和地区间贸易变化等方面对损失进行了评估。结果显示，直接和间接经济损失在日本整体达到约13万亿日元，在兵库县达到约15%。账户统计数据证实了结果的有效性。
This study proposes a model to estimate the damages by the Hanshi-Awaji great earthquake. The model combines I-O framework with econometric model and estimates indirect damages by the loss of buildings and destruction of transport facilities. Japan has subdivided into four areas considering the magnitude of damages. The damages are evaluated in terms of income loss, unemployment, and changes of inter-regional trade. The results showed that direct and indirect economic damages reached about 13 trillion yen in Japan as a whole and those of some 15% in Hyougo. Validity of the results was confirmed by the accounts statistics.