Beyond Counting Climate Consensus

Beyond Counting Climate Consensus
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超越气候共识

DOI:
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发表时间:
2017
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Judith Tsouvalis
Judith Tsouvalis
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
W. Pearce;R. Grundmann;M. Hulme;S. Raman;Eleanor Hadley Kershaw;Judith Tsouvalis

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摘要一些研究一直在使用气候科学中的量化共识作为促进气候政策的论据。最近为传达这种科学共识所作的努力获得了很高的公众知名度,但是否能被视为成功值得怀疑。我们认为,一再努力海岸支持科学共识的最低限度的索赔,如“人类造成全球变暖”是从知识,价值观,政策框架和公众参与更紧迫的问题分心。这种通过传播科学共识来推动政策进步的努力误解了科学知识、公众和决策者之间的关系。更重要的是,要关注气候政策辩论中真正有争议的问题,在这些问题上,专业知识可能会发挥促进作用。在政策辩论中调动专门知识需要判断、背景和对多样性的关注,而不是对狭隘的科学主张进行正式的量化。
ABSTRACT Several studies have been using quantified consensus within climate science as an argument to foster climate policy. Recent efforts to communicate such scientific consensus attained a high public profile but it is doubtful if they can be regarded successful. We argue that repeated efforts to shore up the scientific consensus on minimalist claims such as “humans cause global warming” are distractions from more urgent matters of knowledge, values, policy framing and public engagement. Such efforts to force policy progress through communicating scientific consensus misunderstand the relationship between scientific knowledge, publics and policymakers. More important is to focus on genuinely controversial issues within climate policy debates where expertise might play a facilitating role. Mobilizing expertise in policy debates calls for judgment, context and attention to diversity, rather than deferring to formal quantifications of narrowly scientific claims.