Reply to 'Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK'
Reply to 'Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK'
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DOI：
10.1038/nclimate2613
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发表时间：
2015-06
影响因子：
30.7
通讯作者：
C. Huntingford;T. Marsh;Adam A. Scaife;E. Kendon;J. Hannaford;A. Kay;M. Lockwood;C. Prudhomme;N. Reynard;S. Parry;J. Lowe;J. Screen;H. C. Ward;M. Roberts;P. Stott;V. Bell;Mark J. Bailey;A. Jenkins;T. Legg;F. Otto;N. Massey;N. Schaller;J. Slingo;M. Allen
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文献类型：
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作者：
C. Huntingford;T. Marsh;Adam A. Scaife;E. Kendon;J. Hannaford;A. Kay;M. Lockwood;C. Prudhomme;N. Reynard;S. Parry;J. Lowe;J. Screen;H. C. Ward;M. Roberts;P. Stott;V. Bell;Mark J. Bailey;A. Jenkins;T. Legg;F. Otto;N. Massey;N. Schaller;J. Slingo;M. Allen
2013/14年12月、1月和2月英国洪水潜在因素的观点1（DJF 1314）讨论了气候系统中远程驱动因素、大西洋大气环流和风暴与英国降水之间的潜在联系。基于相关性分析，货车Oldenborgh等人对这些联系持批评态度，例如，与北大西洋涛动（NAO）相比，英国部分地区的冬季降雨量只有0.23的相关性。这种分歧本质上是空间尺度上的分歧：他们的论点是基于英格兰南部特定的局部降雨测量，而不是我们讨论的大西洋大气环流或英国范围内的降水和河流流量。
Perspective1 on the potential factors in the UK floods of December, January and February 2013/14 (DJF1314) discusses potential links between remote drivers in the climate system, Atlantic atmospheric circulation and storminess and UK precipitation. Based on a correlational analysis, van Oldenborgh et al. 2 are critical of these links, arguing for instance that winter rainfall amounts for parts of the UK have only a correlation of 0.23 when compared with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The disagreement is essentially one of spatial scale: their arguments are based on a particularly localized measure of rainfall for southern England, rather than the Atlantic atmospheric circulation or more UK-wide precipitation and river flows that we discussed.