Technological advancement, import penetration and labour markets: Evidence from Thailand
Technological advancement, import penetration and labour markets: Evidence from Thailand
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DOI：
10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105746
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发表时间：
2022-01-05
影响因子：
6.9
通讯作者：
Obashi, Ayako
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jongwanich, Juthathip;Kohpaiboon, Archanun;Obashi, Ayako
本文探讨了先进技术和进口渗透对就业地位和收入变化的影响，以及工人因技术进步而失业的可能性。使用了两个先进技术的指标：信息通信技术和机器人使用的强度。该分析考虑了就业状况和收入的变化，以及工人的产业调整，以调查技术进步和进口的影响，这些影响分为原材料、资本货物和最终产品。结果显示，在泰国，先进技术将工人赶出就业市场的影响有限。相反，它往往会影响工人在熟练和非熟练职位之间的重新分配。结果因工人的工业目的地和技术代理而异。当工人在制造业内停留或流动时，技能升级可能会更多地发生，而信息通信技术的使用往往比机器人的采用产生更有利的结果。汽车、塑料和橡胶等相对资本密集型行业的工人往往从技术增长中获得更大的利益。我们的研究结果强调，与技术进步相比，进口，特别是资本和最终产品的负面影响有所减弱。无论工人的工业目的地和技术代理如何，技术的采用和进口都可能会降低工人的收入。 (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. 保留所有权利。
This paper examines the impact of advanced technology and import penetration on changes in employment positions and income, as well as the possibility that workers become unemployed due to such technological progress. Two proxies of advanced technology are used, ICT and the intensity of robot usage. The analysis considers changes in employment status and income, together with workers' industrial adjustments in investigating the impact of technological advancements and imports, which are delineated into raw materials, capital goods and final products. The results show that in Thailand, the impact of advanced technology in pushing workers out of the job market is limited. Instead, it tends to affect the reallocation of workers between skilled and unskilled positions. The results vary among workers' industrial destinations and proxies of technology. Skill upgrading is likely to occur more when workers stay or move within manufacturing sectors, while ICT usage tends to generate more favourable outcomes than robot adoption. Workers in comparatively capital-intensive industries, including the automotive and plastics and rubber sectors, tend to receive greater benefits from technological growth. Our results highlight a diminished negative impact resulting from imports, particularly those of capital and final goods, in comparison to that of technological advancements. Technology adoption and imports are likely to lower workers' income regardless of their industrial destinations and proxies of technology. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.