Reflections on the foundations of system dynamics

Reflections on the foundations of system dynamics
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DOI:
10.1002/sdr.462
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发表时间:
2011-07-01
影响因子:
4.8
通讯作者:
Richardson, George P.
Richardson, George P.
中科院分区:
管理学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Richardson, George P.

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杰伊·W Forrester最初对系统动力学基础的陈述强调了四个“线索”:计算技术、计算机模拟、战略决策以及反馈在复杂系统中的作用。随后的工作在此基础上进行了扩展,揭示了动态思维、存量与流量思维、运营思维等系统动力学方法的重要性,但系统思维和系统动力学的基础比这些更深,而且往往是隐含的,甚至被忽视:它是“内生的观点”。本文从历史背景入手,阐明内生观点,并举例说明,认为内生观点是系统方法的必要条件。专家系统教师和从业者必须为学生和世界提供一套工具、思维习惯和技能,以便发现和理解复杂系统行为的内生来源。版权所有(C)2011系统动力学学会。
Jay W. Forrester's original statement of the foundations of system dynamics emphasized four 'threads': computing technology, computer simulation, strategic decision making, and the role of feedback in complex systems. Subsequent work has expanded on these to expose the significance in the system dynamics approach of dynamic thinking, stock-and-flow thinking, operational thinking, and so on. But the foundation of systems thinking and system dynamics lies deeper than these and is often implicit or even ignored: it is the "endogenous point of view". The paper begins with historical background, clarifies the endogenous point of view, illustrates with examples, and argues that the endogenous point of view is the sine qua non of systems approaches. What expert systems teachers and practitioners have to offer their students and the world is a set of tools, habits of thought, and skills enabling the discovery and understanding of endogenous sources of complex system behavior. Copyright (C) 2011 System Dynamics Society.