Criminal recidivism among juvenile offenders: Testing the incremental and predictive validity of three measures of psychopathic features
Criminal recidivism among juvenile offenders: Testing the incremental and predictive validity of three measures of psychopathic features
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DOI：
10.1007/s10979-007-9114-8
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发表时间：
2008-10-01
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
Poythress, Norman G.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Douglas, Kevin S.;Epstein, Monica E.;Poythress, Norman G.
本研究采用前瞻性研究方法，对83名犯罪青少年采用三种心理变态特征量表(青少年版[PCL：YV]；反社会程序筛查器[APSD]；儿童心理变态量表[CPS])对犯罪累犯的预测、比较和递增效度进行了研究。双变量和多变量分析(COX比例风险分析)表明，与其他测量方法相比，在三种测量方法中，CPS与大多数类型的累犯的相关性最一致。然而，递增效度分析表明，在概念上相关的协变量(即，药物使用、品行障碍、年轻、既往财产犯罪)被纳入多变量预测模型后，对精神病态特征测量的所有预测效果都消失了。讨论了这些措施在适用的青少年司法评估中的局限性的含义。
We studied the predictive, comparative, and incremental validity of three measures of psychopathic features (Psychopathy Checklist: Youth Version [PCL:YV]; Antisocial Process Screening Device [APSD]; Childhood Psychopathy Scale [CPS]) vis-a-vis criminal recidivism among 83 delinquent youth within a truly prospective design. Bivariate and multivariate analyses (Cox proportional hazard analyses) showed that of the three measures, the CPS was most consistently related to most types of recidivism in comparison to the other measures. However, incremental validity analyses demonstrated that all of the predictive effects for the measures of psychopathic features disappeared after conceptually relevant covariates (i.e., substance use, conduct disorder, young age, past property crime) were included in multivariate predictive models. Implications for the limits of these measures in applied juvenile justice assessment are discussed.