Age-period-cohort analysis of motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan, 1974-1992.
Age-period-cohort analysis of motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan, 1974-1992.
复制标题
1974-1992 年台湾机动车辆死亡率的年龄-时期-队列分析。
DOI：
10.1016/0001-4575(96)00034-6
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发表时间：
1996
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Jung
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Tsauo;Wen;Jung
本研究旨在探讨年龄、死亡时期及出生世代对台湾地区1974-1992年机动车死亡率的影响。根据Osmond和Gardner（Stat. 1：245-259; 1982）。年龄被证明是机动车死亡率的一个重要预测因素。最危险组（70岁以上）男性和女性的死亡率分别是最危险组（5-9岁，10-14岁）的27.1倍和16.3倍。从1974年起，女性的死亡率呈持续上升趋势。男性的情况类似，只是近年来略有下降。机动车死亡风险最高的出生队列是1979年至1983年出生的男女。然而，1929年至1933年出生的男性死亡率也很高。这一分析使人们更好地了解了机动车辆碰撞死亡率的趋势。
The aim of this study was to examine the effects of age, calendar period of death and birth cohort in motor vehicle mortality in Taiwan over the period 1974–1992. A log-linear model modified from the method of Osmond and Gardner (Stat. Med. 1: 245–259; 1982) was used. Age turned out to be a significant predictor of motor vehicle mortality. The most risky group (over 70 years) had 27.1 and 16.3 times the mortality of the least risky group (5–9 years, 10–14 years) for males and females respectively. The period effect showed a continuously increasing mortality trend since 1974 in females. The pattern in males is similar except that it has slightly leveled off in recent years. The birth cohorts at the highest risk of motor vehicle death were those born between 1979 and 1983 for both sexes. However, males born between 1929 and 1933 also had a high mortality. This analysis provided a better understanding of the trend of mortality from motor vehicle crashes.
影响因子：
20.8
作者：
HOLFORD, TR
通讯作者：
HOLFORD, TR