Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science
Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science
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DOI：
10.1177/2053019617725537
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发表时间：
2017-08-01
影响因子：
2.8
通讯作者：
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Donges, Jonathan F.;Winkelmann, Ricarda;Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
国际社会对 2015 年雄心勃勃的巴黎气候协议和联合国可持续发展目标的承诺，使人们关注到在理解和模拟人类世（人类现在居住的社会环境行星系统）方面迫切需要取得重大科学进展。人类世在三个关键特征上与地球历史上的先前时代有质的不同：（1）存在行星规模的人类能动性。 (2) 远程联系的社会和经济网络遍布全球。 （3）它以全球范围的社会生态反馈为主。将旧的概念和方法结合在一起并不足以描述这个新的地质时代。相反，我们需要地球系统科学的新范式，该范式同样建立在对物理和生物地球系统以及现在已成为其固有组成部分的经济、社会和文化力量的深刻理解的基础上。现在是时候关闭循环并将社会介导的动态明确地引入理论、分析和模型中，让我们研究整个地球系统。
International commitment to the appropriately ambitious Paris climate agreement and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals in 2015 has pulled into the limelight the urgent need for major scientific progress in understanding and modelling the Anthropocene, the tightly intertwined social-environmental planetary system that humanity now inhabits. The Anthropocene qualitatively differs from previous eras in Earth's history in three key characteristics: (1) There is planetary-scale human agency. (2) There are social and economic networks of teleconnections spanning the globe. (3) It is dominated by planetary-scale social-ecological feedbacks. Bolting together old concepts and methodologies cannot be an adequate approach to describing this new geological era. Instead, we need a new paradigm in Earth System science that is founded equally on a deep understanding of the physical and biological Earth System - and of the economic, social and cultural forces that are now an intrinsic part of it. It is time to close the loop and bring socially mediated dynamics explicitly into theory, analysis and models that let us study the whole Earth System.