An International Comparison of Leontief Input-Output Coefficients and its Application to Structural Growth Patterns
An International Comparison of Leontief Input-Output Coefficients and its Application to Structural Growth Patterns
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DOI：
10.1080/095353100111272
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发表时间：
2000-03
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
S. Shishido;Makoto Nobukuni;Kazumi Kawamura;Takahiro Akita;Shun’ichi Furukawa
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Shishido;Makoto Nobukuni;Kazumi Kawamura;Takahiro Akita;Shun’ichi Furukawa
对标准发展模式的经验性部门分析侧重于增加值的变化，而忽视了中间投入的结构变化。在一种更全面的生产函数方法中，本文通过使用45个投入产出表来分析部门中间投入和增加值，以发现投入产出系数随着经济发展而变化的标准模式。主要的研究结果是：一是平均增加值比率的U型模式，二是平均中间投入比率的倒U型模式。其次，与基本稳定的主要投入系数相比，补充投入系数表现出倒U型的非线性趋势，这是由早期阶段农业的上升趋势和大多数部门不断增长的能源成本造成的，尽管这部分被运输和分配成本的温和U型所抵消。对于Leontief倍增器，也暗示了类似的反U形图案。
Empirical sectoral analyses of a standard development pattern have focused upon changes in the value added, disregarding the structural changes in intermediate input. In a more comprehensive approach to the production function, the present paper analyses both sectoral intermediate inputs and the value added by using 45 input-output tables to discover a standard pattern of the changes in the input-output coefficients as an economy develops. The major findings are first a U-shape pattern of the average value added ratio and, conversely, an inverse U-shape pattern of the average intermediate input ratio. Secondly, as compared with principal input coefficients that are broadly stable, supplementary input coefficients exhibit the non-linear trends of an inverse U shape contributed by a rising trend in agriculture in the early stages, and a growing energy cost in most sectors, although this is partly offset by mild U shapes of transport and distribution costs. A similar inverse U-shape pattern is implied for the Leontief multiplier.