Political Engagement, Mobilization, and Direct Democracy
Political Engagement, Mobilization, and Direct Democracy
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政治参与、动员和直接民主
DOI：
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发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Daniel A. Smith
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Todd Donovan;Caroline J. Tolbert;Daniel A. Smith
研究发现，使用倡议和公投的州投票率更高，尤其是在中期选举中。现有的研究还没有调查当问题出现在全州选票上时，谁被动员去投票。以Campbell（1966）的研究为基础。《崛起与衰落：选举变革研究》《选举与政治秩序》编。A.坎贝尔，P. E.匡威，W. E.米勒和D. E.斯托克斯。纽约：Wiley)，我们测试投票措施是否吸引和动员了不符合常规选民形象的人。利用2004年和2006年选举的全国民意数据，我们发现独立人士（相对于党派人士）在中期选举中对选票措施表现出更大的意识和兴趣。但在总统选举中却没有出现这种情况。在总统选举中，外围选民更有可能被总统竞选的刺激而不是投票措施所动员。如果没有显著的投票措施，一些偶发的独立选民可能不会参与中期选举。这表明，中期投票率的一些变化可能是外围选民对投票措施感兴趣的结果。
Research has found that states using initiatives and referendums have higher turnout, particularly in midterm elections. Existing research has not examined who is mobilized to vote when issues appear on statewide ballots. Building on work by Campbell (1966. “Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change.” In Elections and the Political Order, eds. A. Campbell, P. E. Converse, W. E. Miller, and D. E. Stokes. New York: Wiley), we test whether ballot measures engage and mobilize people who do not fit the profile of regular voters. Using national opinion data from the 2004 and 2006 elections, we find that independents (relative to partisans) exhibited greater awareness of and interest in ballot measures in the midterm election. This pattern is not found in the presidential election, where peripheral voters are likely to be mobilized by the stimulus of the presidential race rather than by ballot measures. Absent salient ballot measures, some episodic independent voters may not be engaged by midterm elections. This suggests that some variation in midterm turnout maybe a function of peripheral voters becoming engaged by ballot measures.