Impact of adenoma detection on the benefit of faecal testing vs. colonoscopy for colorectal cancer.
Impact of adenoma detection on the benefit of faecal testing vs. colonoscopy for colorectal cancer.
复制标题
腺瘤检测对粪便检测与结肠镜检查对结直肠癌的益处的影响。
DOI:
10.1002/ijc.30933
复制
发表时间:
2017
影响因子:
6.4
通讯作者:
Lansdorp-Vogelaar,Iris
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Meester,ReinierGS;Doubeni,ChykeA;Zauber,AnnG;vanBallegooijen,Marjolein;Corley,DouglasA;Lansdorp-Vogelaar,Iris
Colonoscopy quality, as measured by adenoma detection rates, varies widely across providers and is inversely related to patients' post‐colonoscopy cancer risk. This has unknown consequences for the benefits of faecal immunochemical testing (FIT)vs. primary colonoscopy screening for colorectal cancer. Using an established microsimulation model, we predicted the lifetime colorectal cancer incidence and mortality benefits of annual FITvs. 10‐yearly colonoscopy screening at differing ADR levels (quintiles; averages 15.3–38.7%), with colonoscopy performance assumptions estimated from community‐based data on physician ADRs and patients' post‐colonoscopy risk of cancer. For patients receiving FIT screening with follow‐up colonoscopy by physicians from the highest ADR quintile, simulated lifetime cancer incidence and mortality were 28.8 and 5.4 per 1,000, respectively,vs. 20.6 and 4.4 for primary colonoscopy screening (risk ratios, RR = 1.40; 95% probability interval (PI), 1.19–1.71 for incidence, and RR = 1.22; 95%PI, 1.02–1.54 for mortality). With every 5% point ADR decrease, lifetime cancer incidence was predicted to increase on average 9.0% for FITvs. 12.3% for colonoscopy, and mortality increased 9.9%vs. 13.3%. In ADR quintile 1, simulated mortality was lower for FIT than colonoscopy screening (10.1vs. 11.8; RR = 0.85; 95%PI, 0.83–0.90), while incidences were more similar. This suggests that relative cancer incidence and mortality reductions for FITvs. colonoscopy screening may differ by ADR, with fewer predicted deaths with colonoscopy screening in higher ADR settings and fewer deaths with annual FIT screening in lower ADR settings.