The dynamics of relative poverty in China in a comparative perspective

The dynamics of relative poverty in China in a comparative perspective
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DOI:
10.1177/2057150x211068543
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发表时间:
2022-01
影响因子:
0.9
通讯作者:
T. Chan
T. Chan
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
T. Chan

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我使用家庭面板数据来研究中国、德国、英国和美国的相对贫困动态。与西方三国相比,中国的相对贫困不仅更为普遍,而且更为严重。在德国或美国,暂时性贫困占总贫困的不到一半,但在中国或英国,这一比例约为三分之二。在三次浪潮中,87%的德国人,78%的英国人,71%的美国人,但只有46%的中国人从未贫穷过。使用多项逻辑回归模型,发现贫困的决定因素在这四个国家非常相似。但该模型解释的中国差异要比这三个西方国家小得多。本文件的结论还对现有的对贫穷动态的一般理解提出了挑战。
I use household panel data to study the dynamics of relative poverty in China, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Compared to the three Western countries, not only is relative poverty more common in China, it is also deeper and more severe. Transient poverty accounts for less than half of the total poverty in Germany or the US, but about two-thirds of that in China or the UK. Over three waves, 87% of Germans, 78% of Britons, 71% of Americans, but only 46% of Chinese were never poor. Using a multinomial logistic regression model, the determinants of poverty are found to be very similar across the four countries. But the variance explained by that model is much smaller for China than for the three Western countries. The findings of this paper also challenge some existing understanding of poverty dynamics in general.