Design of integrated risk distribution mechanism of construction diversion system
Design of integrated risk distribution mechanism of construction diversion system
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DOI:
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发表时间:
2006
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
Hu Zhi-gen
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hu Zhi-gen
Risk of construction diversion system is not only related to the hydraulic uncertainty and hydrologic uncertainty,but also to the construction scheduling of dam body and its finishing duration.Based on risk analysis theory,utility theory and entropy theory,the coupling of dynamic integrated risk between hydraulic,hydrologic uncertainty and construction scheduling uncertainties,diversion standards design during diversion phase are analyzed from the side that hydroelectric construction system is an associated whole.The integrated risk distribution mechanism of construction diversion system is established under the guidance of expectation utility losing equilibrium principle,and utility risk entropy is put forward as comprehensive evaluation index of diversion standards,which helps to achieve harmonious risk balance and its optimization of hydroelectric construction system.The case study shows that the research of integrated risk distribution mechanism and its analytical method are reasonable and effective.