Mathematical model for addiction: application to multiple risk factor intervention trial data for smoking.

Mathematical model for addiction: application to multiple risk factor intervention trial data for smoking.
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成瘾的数学模型:应用于吸烟的多危险因素干预试验数据。

DOI:
10.1037//0022-006x.57.3.456
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发表时间:
1989
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
Elketroussi,M
Elketroussi,M
中科院分区:
心理学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Fan,DP;Elketroussi,M

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使用思想动力学数学模型的简单方程式,描述心理和生理上的习惯性和成瘾。这些方程中的参数根据多危险因素干预试验(MRFIT)计划中的吸烟数据进行了优化。只有4个恒定参数,就可以计算戒烟者再次吸烟的准确时间趋势,再次戒烟者再次戒烟的时间趋势,以及再次戒烟和二次戒烟同时发生的人群中吸烟者的最终百分比。这些相同的参数进一步允许对干预计划的长期成功进行预测,以减少对物质的依赖。思想动力学还可以根据大众媒体上的故事来预测舆论的时间趋势。
Describes habituation and addiction, both psychological and physiological, using the simple equations of the mathematical model of ideodynamics. The parameters in these equations were optimized to smoking data from the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT) program. With only 4 constant parameters, it was possible to calculate accurate time trends for recidivism to smoking among quitters, time trends for secondary cessation among recidivists, and final percentage of smokers in a population with both recidivism and secondary cessation occurring simultaneously. These same parameters further permit predictions for the long-range success of intervention programs to decrease substance dependency. Ideodynamics can also predict time trends of public opinion based on stories in the mass media.
对习惯演变的意识形态动力学预测
DOI: --
发表时间: 1985
期刊:
影响因子: --
作者:
D. Fan
通讯作者: D. Fan
DOI: --
发表时间: 1981
影响因子: 5.1
作者:
G. Hughes;N. Hymowitz;J. Ockene;N. Simon;T. Vogt
通讯作者: T. Vogt
DOI: --
发表时间: 1981
影响因子: 5.1
作者:
R. Sherwin;C. Kaelber;P. Kezdi;M. Kjelsberg;H. Thomas
通讯作者: H. Thomas