Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells

Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells
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DOI:
10.3386/w2546
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发表时间:
1988-03
期刊:
--
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Bruce D. Meyer
Bruce D. Meyer
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bruce D. Meyer

文献摘要

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本文测试了失业保险(UI)福利的水平和期限对失业持续时间的影响。这篇论文特别研究了福利失效前几周的个人行为。研究发现,较高的失业保险福利对摆脱失业的可能性有很强的负面影响。然而,在福利失效之前,失业的可能性会急剧上升。当福利期限延长时,在之前预计福利将失效的一周内,咒语结束的可能性也非常高。个人数据与有关持续时间、福利水平和持续时间的准确信息一起使用。使用半参数估计技术并与其他方法进行比较。半参数方法产生更合理的估计并提供有用的诊断。
This paper tests the effects of the level and length of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits on unemployment durations. The paper particularly studies individual behavior during the weeks just prior to when benefits lapse. Higher UI benefits are found to have a strong negative effect on the probability of leaving unemployment. However, the probability of leaving unemployment rises dramatically just prior to when benefits lapse. When the length of benefits is extended, the probability of a spell ending is also very high in the week benefits were previously expected to lapse. Individual data are used with accurate information on spell durations, and the level and length of benefits. Semiparametric estimation techniques are used and compared to alternative approaches. The semiparametric approach yields more plausible estimates and provides useful diagnostics.