The E-Scooter Potential to Change Urban Mobility-Belgrade Case Study
The E-Scooter Potential to Change Urban Mobility-Belgrade Case Study
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DOI：
10.3390/su13115948
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发表时间：
2021-06-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Jevremovic, Sreten
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Glavic, Drazenko;Trpkovic, Ana;Jevremovic, Sreten
当我们目睹随着电动滑板车（电动滑板车）的出现而发生的全球变化时，显然需要采取适当的措施来实施这种交通工具。考虑到用户应该是所提出措施的重点，本文的目的包括分析电动滑板车用户的出行模式，以及标准滑板车用户在不同假设场景下切换到电动滑板车的意愿，以及确定影响用户切换意愿的因素。这些场景包括贝尔格莱德市各种基础设施能力的可用性，即电动滑板车的单独基础设施，或与骑自行车者、行人和机动车共享现有基础设施。本文使用了描述性统计的标准方法、配对样本的 McNemar-Bowker 检验以及多项逻辑回归。结果显示，根据可用的基础设施，用户使用电动滑板车的意愿存在统计上的显着差异。多项逻辑回归的结果表明，在 COVID-19 大流行之前和期间使用的交通方式以及平均行驶距离，如果允许用户使用自行车基础设施，对用户改用电动滑板车的意愿具有统计上的显着影响。本文还确定了对用户转换意愿具有积极（环境效益、避免拥堵）和消极（安全问题、缺乏基础设施等）影响的其他因素，这些因素可以为决策者提供参考，作为在交通系统中充分实施电动滑板车的基本指南。
As we witness a global change occurring with the advent of e-scooters (electric scooters), it is clear that adequate measures need to be taken for the implementation of this means of transport. Bearing in mind that the user should be the focus of the proposed measures, the aim of this paper encompasses the analysis of e-scooter users' travel patterns, as well as standard scooter users' willingness to switch to e-scooters for different hypothetical scenarios, and the determination of factors that have an influence on the users' willingness to switch. The scenarios include the availability of various infrastructure capacities for the city of Belgrade, namely, a separate infrastructure for e-scooters, or sharing the existing infrastructure with cyclists, pedestrians and motor vehicles. Standard methods of descriptive statistics, the McNemar-Bowker test of paired samples, and multinomial logistic regression were used in this paper. The results showed that there was a statistically significant difference in users' willingness to use an e-scooter, depending on the available infrastructure. The results of multinomial logistic regression showed that the mode of transport used before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the average distance traveled, had a statistically significant impact on the users' willingness to switch to e-scooters if they were allowed to use the cycling infrastructure. This paper also identifies additional factors that have a positive (environmental benefits, congestion avoidance) and negative (safety issues, lack of infrastructure, etc.) impact on users' willingness to switch, which can be of use to decision-makers as a basic guideline for the adequate implementation of e-scooters in transport systems.