Developing multiscale and integrative nature–people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework
Developing multiscale and integrative nature–people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework
复制标题
使用自然未来框架开发多尺度和综合的自然-人类场景
DOI：
10.31235/osf.io/ka69n
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发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
6.1
通讯作者：
C. Lundquist
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
L. Pereira;Kathryn K. Davies;E. Belder;S. Ferrier;Sylvia Karlsson;HyeJin Kim;J. Kuiper;Sana Okayasu;M. G. Palomo;H. Pereira;Garry D. Peterson;J. Sathyapalan;Machteld Schoolenberg;R. Alkemade;S. Ribeiro;A. Greenaway;J. Hauck;N. King;Tanya Lazarova;Federica Ravera;N. Chettri;W. Cheung;Rob J. J. Hendriks;Grigoriy Kolomytsev;P. Leadley;J. Metzger;K. Ninan;R. Pichs;A. Popp;C. Rondinini;I. Rosa;D. Vuuren;C. Lundquist
科学家们一再辩称，需要变革性的、多尺度的全球情景作为寻求阻止生物多样性下降和实现可持续发展目标的工具。作为实现这一目标的第一步，参加生物多样性和生态系统服务政府间科学政策平台(IPBES)情景和模型专家组的专家进入了一个迭代的参与性进程，导致制定了自然未来框架(NFF)。NFF是一种启发式工具，以三角形的形式捕捉人与自然之间的各种积极关系。它既可以作为在创造理想的自然情景中不断开辟更多多元视角的边界对象，也可以作为在多个尺度上制定一致的自然情景的可操作框架。在这里，我们描述了用来开发NFF的方法，以及它如何适应为自然创造变革性的、多尺度的情景的长期过程。我们认为，国家森林论坛的贡献有两方面：a)它能够对什么是可取的持有多种观点，这使得能够制定共同的目标和愿景，并认识到实现这些目标和愿景的措施可能的汇聚和协同作用；b)它的多尺度功能，用于阐述可以为相关级别的决策提供信息的情景和模型，使其适用于特定的地方和对自然的看法。如果人类要实现以繁荣的自然为根基的更可持续和更繁荣的未来的目标，至关重要的是为人与自然关系的更多元视角开辟空间。随着全球社会开始为生物多样性制定新的目标，自然生态框架可以被用作导航工具，帮助实现多样化、可取的未来。
Scientists have repeatedly argued that transformative, multiscale global scenarios are needed as tools in the quest to halt the decline of biodiversity and achieve sustainability goals. As a first step towards achieving this, the experts who participated in the scenarios and models expert group of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) entered into an iterative, participatory process that led to the development of the Nature Futures Framework (NFF). The NFF is a heuristic tool that captures diverse, positive relationships of humans with nature in the form of a triangle. It can be used both as a boundary object for continuously opening up more plural perspectives in the creation of desirable nature scenarios and as an actionable framework for developing consistent nature scenarios across multiple scales. Here, we describe the methods employed to develop the NFF and how this fits into a longer-term process to create transformative, multiscale scenarios for nature. We argue that the contribution of the NFF is two-fold: a) its ability to hold a plurality of perspectives on what is desirable, which enables the development of joint goals and visions and recognises the possible convergence and synergies of measures to achieve these and b), its multi-scale functionality for elaborating scenarios and models that can inform decision-making at relevant levels, making it applicable across specific places and perspectives on nature. If humanity is to achieve its goal of a more sustainable and prosperous future rooted in a flourishing nature, it is critical to open up a space for more plural perspectives of human-nature relationships. As the global community sets out to develop new goals for biodiversity, the NFF can be used as a navigation tool helping to make diverse, desirable futures are possible.
影响因子：
4.1
作者：
Oteros-Rozas, Elisa;Martin-Lopez, Berta;Vilardy, Sandra P.
通讯作者：
Vilardy, Sandra P.