Fertility, income inequality, and labour productivity
Fertility, income inequality, and labour productivity
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生育率、收入不平等和劳动生产率
DOI：
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发表时间：
2007
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Swift
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
R. Guest;R. Swift
越来越多的证据表明，生育率、生产率和不平等之间存在着复杂的多方向联系。这项研究的贡献是利用英国、美国、澳大利亚、日本和瑞典的年度时间序列数据，在VECM框架中将这三个变量作为一个同步系统进行多国分析。这一结果突显了不同国家在变量之间的关系上的一些差异。对于英国和澳大利亚，VECM分析揭示了生育率和生产率之间的长期关系，生育率和生产率都会根据这种关系进行调整。这使这些国家旨在抵消人口老龄化成本的有利于生育的政策受到质疑，因为从长远来看，生育率的提高可能与生产率下降有关。美国的研究结果表明，从长远来看，生产率的提高将与不平等和生育率的降低相关。没有发现日本和瑞典存在显著的长期关系。版权所有2008，牛津大学出版社。
There is mounting evidence of a complex system of multi-directional links between fertility, productivity and inequality. The contribution of this study is a multi-country analysis of these three variables as a simultaneous system in a VECM framework using annual time series data for the UK, USA, Australia, Japan, and Sweden. The results highlight some differences between countries in the relationships between the variables. For the UK and Australia, the VECM analysis reveals a long run relationship between fertility and productivity to which both fertility and productivity adjust. This calls into question pro-fertility policies in these countries that aim to offset the costs of population ageing, because an increase in fertility may be associated with lower productivity in the long run. The results for the USA suggest that raising productivity in the long run will be associated with a decrease in both inequality and fertility. No significant long run relationships were found for Japan and Sweden. Copyright 2008 , Oxford University Press.