Heterogeneity in Excess Mortality and Its Impact on Loss of Life Expectancy due to COVID-19: Evidence from Mexico.

Heterogeneity in Excess Mortality and Its Impact on Loss of Life Expectancy due to COVID-19: Evidence from Mexico.
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DOI:
10.1007/s42650-021-00051-1
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发表时间:
2021
影响因子:
1.2
通讯作者:
Beltrán-Sánchez H
Beltrán-Sánchez H
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
García-Guerrero VM;Beltrán-Sánchez H

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新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)对全球大多数国家的死亡率和生存率产生重大影响,墨西哥是受疫情影响最严重的国家之一。在本文中,我们研究了COVID-19死亡对墨西哥出生时预期寿命的影响,按性别和州划分。我们重点关注不同年龄段的预期寿命损失,以此作为衡量2020年疫情对人口影响的地理可比指标。结果显示,男性比女性受到的影响更大,因为他们在出生时因COVID-19而失去了更多的预期寿命,而且他们在各州的预期寿命损失也有很大的差异。预期寿命损失最大的地区集中在东北部、中部和东南部(尤卡坦半岛)各州。考虑到与COVID-19死亡相关的可能统计不足,敏感性分析表明,新型冠状病毒对墨西哥预期寿命的影响比官方政府数据显示的要大得多。对大流行的持续评估将有助于州政府量化当前和新的公共卫生措施的效果。
The new coronavirus (COVID-19) is having a major impact on mortality and survival in most countries of the world, with Mexico being one of the countries most heavily impacted by the pandemic. In this paper, we study the impact of COVID-19 deaths on period life expectancy at birth in Mexico by sex and state. We focus on the loss of life expectancy at different ages as a geographically comparable measure of the pandemic’s impact on the population in 2020. Results show that males have been affected more than women since they have lost more years of life expectancy at birth due to COVID-19, and they have also experienced a high variation of life expectancy loss across states. The biggest life expectancy loss concentrates in the Northeastern, Central, and Southeastern (Yucatan peninsula) states. Considering the likely undercount associated with COVID-19 deaths, sensitivity analysis suggests that the new coronavirus is having a much larger impact on life expectancy in Mexico than the official government data appears to indicate. Continuos assessment of the pandemic will help state governments quantify the effect of current and new public health measures.
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