Contextual Effects of Immigrant Presence on Populist Radical Right Support: Testing the "Halo Effect" on Front National Voting in France
Contextual Effects of Immigrant Presence on Populist Radical Right Support: Testing the "Halo Effect" on Front National Voting in France
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DOI：
10.1177/0010414020957677
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发表时间：
2020-09-15
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Ivaldi, Gilles
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Evans, Jocelyn;Ivaldi, Gilles
本文基于对 2017 年法国国民阵线投票中移民存在的背景影响的分析，探讨了移民与民粹主义激进右翼 (PRR) 支持之间的关系。使用一组独特的调查数据对亚社区层面的受访者进行地理定位，本文发现了曲线“光环效应”存在的证据，即在移民人口明显高于平均水平的社区周围地区，PRR 投票的概率大幅增加，并且独立于其他社会经济背景，如下：以及个人的社会人口特征。最重要的是，路径分析证实了这种光环效应对 PRR 投票的个人态度调节因素的存在，从而测试了光环的基础，即移民存在的背景效应对推动 PRR 支持的态度起作用。这些发现为理解移民主观体验与民粹主义激进右翼投票之间的联系机制迈出了重要一步。
This paper examines the relationship between immigration and populist radical right (PRR) support, based on an analysis of the contextual effects of immigrant presence on Front National vote in France in 2017. Using a unique set of survey data geolocalising respondents at the subcommunal level, it finds evidence for the existence of a curvilinear "halo effect," with substantial increases in the probability of PRR vote in areas surrounding communities with significantly higher-than-average immigrant populations, and independent of other socio-economic context, as well as individual socio-demographic characteristics. Most importantly, a path analysis confirms the presence of individual attitudinal mediators of this halo effect on PRR vote, thus testing the foundation of the halo, namely that the contextual effects of immigrant presence act on attitudes which drive PRR support. These findings provide a significant step forward in understanding the mechanisms linking subjective experience of immigration with voting for the populist radical right.