Public health vulnerability to climate change in Brazil
Public health vulnerability to climate change in Brazil
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DOI：
10.3354/cr00808
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发表时间：
2009-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
1.1
通讯作者：
Rodriguez, R. E.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Confalonieri, U. E. C.;Marinho, D. P.;Rodriguez, R. E.
在巴西科学和技术部的支持下，对巴西人口目前易受气候变化健康影响的脆弱性进行了全国定量评估。根据修改后的一般“确保-反应”模式，通过了卫生部门脆弱性概念框架（Confalonieri，2003年）。为了量化脆弱性，采用了一种新的方法，根据社会经济、流行病和气候三个领域的具体脆弱性指数的平均值，制定了综合（综合）一般脆弱性指数。我们发现，对（最脆弱国家的）总体脆弱性指数影响最大的是社会经济脆弱性指数。所采用的方法还表明，东北部是巴西最容易受到气候变化健康影响的地区。
A national quantitative assessment of the current vulnerability of the Brazilian population to the health impacts of climate change was undertaken with the support of the Brazilian Ministry of Science and Technology. A conceptual framework of vulnerability in the health sector, according to a modified general 'exposure-response' model, was adopted (Confalonieri 2003). For the quantification of vulnerability, a new methodology was used to develop a synthetic (composite) general vulnerability index from averages of specific indices of vulnerability in 3 areas: socio-economic, epidemiological and climatological. We found that the greatest influence on the general vulnerability index (of the most vulnerable states) was from the socio-economic vulnerability index. The approach used also demonstrated that the northeast is the most vulnerable Brazilian region to the health impacts of a changing climate.