Teen expectations for significant life events
Teen expectations for significant life events
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DOI：
10.1086/317762
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发表时间：
2000-06-01
影响因子：
3.4
通讯作者：
Manski, CF
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fischhoff, B;Parker, AM;Manski, CF
结果stable 1给出问题和汇总统计。对于每个问题的回答，我们的数据分析考虑(a)他们所呈现的青少年形象，(b)他们的准确性，以及(c)他们与其他模块相关问题的一致性。NLSY97的一个优势是有这样的问题，由领域专家独立开发，并放在调查的其他地方（减少一致性的压力）。我们还考虑判断之间的相关性，寻找方法方差。未来的NLSY97将允许评估个别受访者的预测。这个最初的横截面只允许将总体预测与年龄相仿的个体的统计数据进行比较（假设当前的队列将像其前辈一样）。
ResultsTable 1 presents questions and summary statistics.! For responses to each question, our data analysis considers (a) the picture of teens that they present,(b) their accuracy, and (c) their consistency with related questions on other modules. One strength of NLSY97 is having such questions, developed in-dependently by domain specialists and placed elsewhere on the survey (reducing any pressure for consistency). We also consider correlations across judgments, looking for method variance. Future waves of NLSY97 will allow evaluating individual respondents' predictions. This initial cross-section allows only comparing overall predictions with statistics for similarly aged individuals (assuming that the present cohort will fare like its predecessors).