Composite Outcomes in Cardiovascular Research: A Survey of Randomized Trials
Composite Outcomes in Cardiovascular Research: A Survey of Randomized Trials
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DOI:
10.7326/0003-4819-149-9-200811040-00004
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发表时间:
2008-11-04
影响因子:
39.2
通讯作者:
Altman, Douglas G.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lim, Eric;Brown, Adam;Altman, Douglas G.
Background: Composite end points are common in clinical trials.Objective: To describe how composite outcomes are used, constructed, and reported in cardiovascular trials and to evaluate the contribution of individual end points to the composite estimate of effect in those trials.Design: Review of 2-group, parallel-design, randomized cardiovascular trials that used composite end points and were published in 14 clinical journals from 1 January 2000 to 1 January 2007.Setting: Published randomized trials in cardiovascular medicine and surgery.Participants: Two-group, parallel-design trials published in 14 leading general medical, cardiology, and cardiothoracic surgery journals from 1 January 2000 to 1 January 2007.Measurements: The types and numbers of individual events included in the composite outcome and P values and risk estimates for the composite outcome.Results: Of 304 trials published that used composite outcomes, 221 (73%) reported a composite primary outcome and 83 (27%) reported a composite secondary outcome. Composite outcomes comprised a median of 3 (interquartile range, 3 to 4) individual outcomes; death was the most common individual outcome. The total number of individual events and the total number of events represented by the composite outcome differed in 79% of trials. P values for composite outcomes were less than 0.050 more frequently than they were 0.050 or greater. Death as an individual end point made a relatively minimal contribution to estimates of effect summarized by the trials' composite end points, whereas revascularization made a greater contribution.Limitation: All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were not distinguished, and the findings might not apply to trials in other fields.Conclusion: Composite outcomes in cardiovascular trials are frequent and commonly comprise 3 to 4 individual end points that vary in clinical significance. Discrepancies between the total number of individual events in a trial and those reported for composite outcomes are common. Individual outcomes do not contribute equally to composite measures, so the overall estimate of effect for a composite measure cannot be assumed to apply equally to each of its individual outcomes.