Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): The TRIPOD Statement
Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD): The TRIPOD Statement
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.11.010
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发表时间：
2015-01-06
影响因子：
39.2
通讯作者：
Moons, Karel G. M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Collins, Gary S.;Reitsma, Johannes B.;Moons, Karel G. M.
开发预测模型是为了帮助卫生保健提供者估计特定疾病或病症存在的概率或风险（诊断模型）或未来将发生的特定事件（预后模型），以便为他们的决策提供信息。然而，大量证据表明，预测模型研究报告的质量很差。只有对预测模型各方面的信息进行全面和清晰的报告，才能充分评估预测模型的偏差风险和潜在的有用性。个人预后或诊断多变量预测模型透明报告（TRIPOD）倡议制定了一套建议，用于报告开发、验证或更新预测模型的研究，无论是用于诊断还是预后目的。本文描述了TRIPOD声明是如何形成的。在文献综述的基础上，建立了一个广泛的项目清单，经过网络调查后减少，并在2011年6月与方法学家、卫生保健专业人员和期刊编辑举行的为期3天的会议期间进行了修订。在指导小组的几次会议以及与更广泛的TRIPOD贡献者的电子邮件讨论中，该列表得到了改进。由此产生的TRIPOD声明是一个包含22个项目的清单，被认为是透明报告预测模型研究的必要条件。TRIPOD声明旨在提高预测模型研究报告的透明度，无论使用何种研究方法。TRIPOD声明最好与TRIPOD解释和阐述文件一起使用。为了帮助编辑过程和预测模型研究的读者，建议作者在他们的提交中包括一份完整的清单（也可在www.tripod-statementorg上获得）。(C) 2015爱思唯尔公司版权所有。开发预测模型是为了帮助卫生保健提供者估计特定疾病或病症存在的概率或风险（诊断模型）或未来将发生的特定事件（预后模型），以便为他们的决策提供信息。然而，大量证据表明，预测模型研究报告的质量很差。只有对预测模型各方面的信息进行全面和清晰的报告，才能充分评估预测模型的偏差风险和潜在的有用性。透明报告个体预后或诊断的多变量预测模型（TRIPOD）倡议制定了一套建议，用于报告开发、验证或更新预测模型的研究，无论是用于诊断还是预后目的。本文描述了TRIPOD声明是如何形成的。在文献综述的基础上，建立了一个广泛的项目清单，经过网络调查后减少，并在2011年6月与方法学家、卫生保健专业人员和期刊编辑举行的为期3天的会议期间进行了修订。在指导小组的几次会议以及与更广泛的TRIPOD贡献者的电子邮件讨论中，该列表得到了改进。由此产生的TRIPOD声明是一个包含22个项目的清单，被认为是透明报告预测模型研究的必要条件。TRIPOD声明旨在提高预测模型研究报告的透明度，无论使用何种研究方法。TRIPOD声明最好与TRIPOD解释和阐述文件一起使用。为了帮助编辑过程和预测模型研究的读者，建议作者在他们的提交中包括一份完整的清单（也可在www.tripod-statement.org上获得）。
Prediction models are developed to aid health care providers in estimating the probability or risk that a specific disease or condition is present (diagnostic models) or that a specific event will occur in the future (prognostic models), to inform their decision making. However, the overwhelming evidence shows that the quality of reporting of prediction model studies is poor. Only with full and clear reporting of information on all aspects of a prediction model can risk of bias and potential usefulness of prediction models be adequately assessed. The Transparent Reporting of a multivatiable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Initiative developed a set of recommendations for the reporting of studies developing, validating, or updating a prediction model, whether for diagnostic or prognostic purposes. This article describes how the TRIPOD Statement was developed. An extensive list of items based on a review of the literature was created, which was reduced after a Web-based survey and revised during a 3-day meeting in June 2011 with methodologists, health care professionals, and journal editors. The list was refined during several meetings of the steering group and in e-mail discussions with the wider group of TRIPOD contributors. The resulting TRIPOD Statement is a checklist of 22 items, deemed essential for transparent reporting of a prediction model study. The TRIPOD Statement aims to improve the transparency of the reporting of a prediction model study regardless of the study methods used. The TRIPOD Statement is best used in conjunction with the TRIPOD explanation and elaboration document. To aid the editorial process and readers of prediction model studies, it is recommended that authors include a completed checklist in their submission (also available at www.tripod-statementorg). (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.Prediction models are developed to aid health care providers in estimating the probability or risk that a specific disease or condition is present (diagnostic models) or that a specific event will occur in the future (prognostic models), to inform their decision making. However, the overwhelming evidence shows that the quality of reporting of prediction model studies is poor. Only with full and clear reporting of information on all aspects of a prediction model can risk of bias and potential usefulness of prediction models be adequately assessed. The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Initiative developed a set of recommendations for the reporting of studies developing, validating, or updating a prediction model, whether for diagnostic or prognostic purposes. This article describes how the TRIPOD Statement was developed. An extensive list of items based on a review of the literature was created, which was reduced after a Web-based survey and revised during a 3-day meeting in June 2011 with methodologists, health care professionals, and journal editors. The list was refined during several meetings of the steering group and in e-mail discussions with the wider group of TRIPOD contributors. The resulting TRIPOD Statement is a checklist of 22 items, deemed essential for transparent reporting of a prediction model study. The TRIPOD Statement aims to improve the transparency of the reporting of a prediction model study regardless of the study methods used. The TRIPOD Statement is best used in conjunction with the TRIPOD explanation and elaboration document. To aid the editorial process and readers of prediction model studies, it is recommended that authors include a completed checklist in their submission (also available at www.tripod-statement.org).