Towards sustainability of energy systems: A primer on how to apply the concept of energy services to identify necessary trends and policies
Towards sustainability of energy systems: A primer on how to apply the concept of energy services to identify necessary trends and policies
复制标题
实现能源系统的可持续性：如何应用能源服务概念来确定必要的趋势和政策的入门读本
DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2008.06.028
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发表时间：
2008
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
G. Resch
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
R. Haas;N. Nakicenovic;A. Ajanovic;Thomas Faber;L. Kranzl;A. Müller;G. Resch
几乎所有体现现代社会福祉的商品和服务都依赖于商业能源的提供。本文件的核心目标是确定趋势的必要变化，以实现向更可持续的能源系统和发展道路的过渡。这一分析的主要结论是：㈠必须进行严格的重新思考，以确定人均能源服务的哪一水平能够提高人类福利和生活质量; ㈡必须促使能源转换效率的显著提高，以便最终以比今天少得多的能源投入提供能源服务;（三）必须不断增加可再生能源和其他低排放选择的份额;（四）然而，历史表明，这种技术学习过程必须伴随适当的能源价格和管理政策。否则，由于技术效率的提高而取得的节能成果很可能会再次被能源服务需求的增加以及能源消费和二氧化碳排放的增加所抵消。
Virtually all goods and services that characterize modern societies’ welfare depend on the provision of commercial energy. The core objective of this paper is to identify necessary changes in trends for achieving a transition towards more sustainable energy systems and development paths. The major conclusions of this analysis are (i) a rigorous rethinking process has to take place to identify which level of energy services per capita lead to enhancing human welfare and quality of life; (ii) a significant increase in energy conversion efficiency has to be triggered to finally provide energy services with far less input of energy than today; (iii) a continuous increase in the share of renewable energy sources and other low-emission options has to be brought about; (iv) however, as history has shown this process of technological learning has to be accompanied by proper energy price and regulatory policies. Otherwise, it is very likely that energy conservation gains due to technical efficiency improvements will be outweighed again by increases in energy service demand and, straightforward, energy consumption and CO2emissions.