Uncertain climate: An investigation into public scepticism about anthropogenic climate change
Uncertain climate: An investigation into public scepticism about anthropogenic climate change
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DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.03.001
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发表时间：
2011-08
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
W. Poortinga;A. Spence;L. Whitmarsh;S. Capstick;N. Pidgeon
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
W. Poortinga;A. Spence;L. Whitmarsh;S. Capstick;N. Pidgeon
本研究采用Rahmstorf（2004）的趋势、归因和影响怀疑框架，对英国公众对气候变化的怀疑进行了详细调查。研究发现，气候怀疑论目前在英国并不普遍。虽然对气候变化潜在影响的不确定性和怀疑相当普遍，但对趋势和归因的怀疑却远没有那么普遍。它进一步表明，不同类型的怀疑主义密切相关。虽然这可能表明，一般公众并没有明确区分气候辩论的不同方面，但沿着拉姆斯托夫类型学，流行程度有明显的等级。气候怀疑主义在来自较低社会经济背景的老年人中特别常见，他们在政治上保守，持有传统价值观;而在来自较高社会经济背景的年轻人中，持自我超越和环境价值观的人则不太常见。气候怀疑论植根于人们的核心价值观和世界观，这一发现可能意味着人们对气候变化持一致和全面的怀疑态度。然而，态度上的确定性似乎主要集中在非怀疑群体中，这表明气候怀疑论的观点并不十分坚定。气候变化的沟通和参与的研究结果的影响进行了讨论。
This study presents a detailed investigation of public scepticism about climate change in Britain using the trend, attribution, and impact scepticism framework of Rahmstorf (2004). The study found that climate scepticism is currently not widespread in Britain. Although uncertainty and scepticism about the potential impacts of climate change were fairly common, both trend and attribution scepticism were far less prevalent. It further showed that the different types of scepticism are strongly interrelated. Although this may suggest that the general public does not clearly distinguish between the different aspects of the climate debate, there is a clear gradation in prevalence along the Rahmstorf typology. Climate scepticism appeared particularly common among older individuals from lower socio-economic backgrounds who are politically conservative and hold traditional values; while it is less common among younger individuals from higher socio-economic backgrounds who hold self-transcendence and environmental values. The finding that climate scepticism is rooted in people's core values and worldviews may imply a coherent and encompassing sceptical outlook on climate change. However, attitudinal certainty appeared mainly concentrated in non-sceptical groups, suggesting that climate sceptical views are not held very firmly. Implications of the findings for climate change communication and engagement are discussed.