PrEP Adherence Patterns Strongly Affect Individual HIV Risk and Observed Efficacy in Randomized Clinical Trials.
PrEP Adherence Patterns Strongly Affect Individual HIV Risk and Observed Efficacy in Randomized Clinical Trials.
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DOI:
10.1097/qai.0000000000000993
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发表时间:
2016-08-01
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Donnell D
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Dimitrov DT;Mâsse BR;Donnell D
Randomized controlled trials (RCT) suggest that the efficacy of tenofovir-based pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) strongly depends on consistency of PrEP use. We explore how patterns of pill-taking and waning of PrEP protection may affect PrEP efficacy for HIV prevention. A two-arm RCT was simulated by mathematical models assuming that prescribed daily doses were skipped periodically, randomly or in large blocks. Risk-driven adherence, in which PrEP was taken when sex was expected, was also investigated. Three temporal PrEP protection profiles were explored: long (5 days), intermediate (3 days) and short (24 hours). Modeling results were compared to the efficacy observed in completed RCTs. Expected PrEP efficacy was 60% with periodic, 50% with random and 34% with block adherence when PrEP had a long protection profile and pills were taken only 50% of the days. Risk-driven pill-taking resulted in 29% and 37% daily pills taken and efficacy of 43% and 51% for long protection. High PrEP efficacy comparable with that observed in Partners PrEP and CDC Botswana trials was simulated under long protection, high overall adherence and limited block pill-taking; the moderate efficacy observed in iPrEx and Bangkok trials was comparable with the 50% adherence scenarios under random pill-taking and long protection. Pill-taking patterns may have a substantial impact on the protection provided by PrEP even when the same numbers of pills are taken. When PrEP retains protection for longer than a day, pill-taking patterns can explain a broad range of efficacies observed in PrEP RCTs.