Is China 'Crowding Out' South African Exports of Manufactures?
Is China 'Crowding Out' South African Exports of Manufactures?
复制标题
中国正在“挤出”南非制成品的出口吗？
DOI：
10.1057/ejdr.2014.72
复制
发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Jenkins R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Jenkins R
本文分析了中国竞争对南非制造业出口到欧洲、美国和撒哈拉以南非洲主要市场的影响。本文考虑了五个相关的研究问题。首先，中国和南非是否在出口市场上相互竞争，这种竞争有多广泛，以及这种竞争如何随着时间的推移而变化？第二，中国的竞争在多大程度上取代了南非的出口？第三，南非的出口在哪些国家受到的影响最大？第四，南非哪些出口部门面临来自中国竞争的最大威胁？最后，南非的经验与另一个中等收入国家和区域强国巴西的经验相比如何？我们发现，南非和中国之间的竞争在过去十年中显著增加，特别是在非洲市场。所有类型的制成品出口都输给了中国，但低技术产品的影响最大。不过，南非的出口自2001年以来有所增加，因此，“挤出”应作相对解释。
This article analyses the impact of Chinese competition on South African manufacturing exports to its major markets in Europe, the United States and Sub-Saharan Africa. The article considers five related research questions. First, are China and South Africa competing with each other in export markets, how extensive is such competition and how is this changing over time? Second, to what extent has Chinese competition led to the displacement of South African exports? Third, in which countries have South African exports been most affected? Fourth, which South African export sectors face the greatest threat from Chinese competition? Finally, how does South Africa's experience compare to that of Brazil, another middle-income country and regional power. We find that competition between South Africa and China increased significantly over the past decade, particularly in African markets. All types of manufactured exports lost ground to China, but the impact is strongest in low-technology products. South African exports have nevertheless increased from 2001 so that ‘crowding out’ should be interpreted in relative terms.