Estimating the Latent Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Unemployment Duration

Estimating the Latent Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Unemployment Duration
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估计失业救济金对失业持续时间的潜在影响

DOI:
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发表时间:
2012
期刊:
Social Science Research Network
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
R. Wilke
R. Wilke
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Simon M. S. Lo;G. Stephan;R. Wilke

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我们估计的影响,缩短失业救济金的权利对失业持续时间。以前的研究相同或相关的问题没有考虑到,竞争风险持续时间模型是不确定的,我们首先阐明的问题是否非识别问题可能会妨碍信息的结果。事实证明,在没有强假设的情况下,感兴趣的参数的识别界限非常宽。我们建议的风险之间的依赖结构,这是温和的比传统的持续时间模型假设的假设。在此假设下,识别界限更紧,并成为治疗效果的方向提供信息。我们发现有证据表明,失业前收入较高的失业者更有可能进入全职工作,特别是补贴自营职业。
We estimate the effect of a shortening of unemployment benefit entitlements on unemployment duration. Previous studies on the same or related problems have not taken into account that the competing risks duration model is not identified and we shed first light on the question whether the non identification problem may preclude informative results. It turns out that the identification bounds for the parameters of interest are very wide in the absence of strong assumptions. We suggest an assumption on the dependence structure between risks which is milder than what conventional duration models assume. Under this assumption, the identification bounds are tighter and become informative for the direction of the treatment effect. We find evidence that the unemployed with higher pre-unemployment earnings are more likely to enter full-time employment and, in particular, subsidized self-employment.
DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxj040
发表时间: 2007-04-01
期刊: BIOSTATISTICS
影响因子: 2.1
作者:
Jeong, Jong-Hyeon;Fine, Jason P.
通讯作者: Fine, Jason P.
DOI: 10.1515/jem-2012-0016
发表时间: 2014
影响因子: --
作者:
Lo S
通讯作者: Lo S