PROBABILITY OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE AS OBTAINED FROM A WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF CRUSTAL STRAIN
PROBABILITY OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE AS OBTAINED FROM A WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS OF CRUSTAL STRAIN
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/0040-1951(74)90030-4
复制
发表时间：
1974-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
2.9
通讯作者：
HAGIWARA, Y
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
HAGIWARA, Y
Probability of a large-scale earthquake occurrence is estimated from crustal strain geodetically detected over an earthquake area. The Weibull distribution function, which is widely applied to quality-control research, is made use of in this paper in the probabilistic treatments of crustal strain.Using the table of ultimate strain presented by Rikitake (1974), a Weibull model representing a statistical distribution of crustal-rupture occurrence time is determined on the assumption that the crust is strained with a constant speed. In the case of the South Kanto District, the associated probability-density function has a maximum at about 84 years after the time when the strain energy accumulation starts.
