Probabilistic load flow techniques applied to power system expansion planning
Probabilistic load flow techniques applied to power system expansion planning
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DOI：
10.1109/59.99351
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发表时间：
1990-11
影响因子：
6.6
通讯作者：
A. P. A. D. Silva-A.-P.-A.-D.-Silva-2356784;S. Ribeiro;V. Arienti;R. Allan;M. Filho
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. P. A. D. Silva-A.-P.-A.-D.-Silva-2356784;S. Ribeiro;V. Arienti;R. Allan;M. Filho
提出了概率潮流技术在电力系统规划中的应用。PLF的制定和解决方案的简要回顾，包括识别这种技术和其他可用的工具，如复合发电和输电可靠性评估算法之间的差异。使用巴西北部/东北系统的案例研究证明了PLF技术的潜力。该系统的一个区域的网络扩展规划的研究，使用传统的潮流程序和结果进行了比较，从PLF程序，模型的发电容量不可用性和峰值负荷的不确定性。显著差异证明了PLF技术的受益。特别强调的是短期和长期的建模使用的真实的系统负荷数据的分析。>
An application of the probabilistic load flow (PLF) techniques to the expansion planning of power systems is presented. A brief review of the PLF formulation and solution is included to identify differences between this technique and other available tools such as composite generation and transmission reliability evaluation algorithms. The potential of the PLF technique is demonstrated by a case study using the Brazilian North/Northeastern system. The network expansion planning of an area of this system is studied using a conventional load flow program and the results are compared with those obtained from a PLF program that models generation capacity unavailabilities and peak load uncertainties. The significant differences demonstrate the benefits of the PLF technique. Special emphasis is given to short-term and long-term modeling using analyses of real system load data. >