The Rise and Fall of the ARM: An Econometric Analysis of Mortgage Choice

The Rise and Fall of the ARM: An Econometric Analysis of Mortgage Choice
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ARM 的兴衰:抵押贷款选择的计量经济学分析

DOI:
10.2307/1928154
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发表时间:
1988
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
James R. Follain
James R. Follain
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
J. Brueckner;James R. Follain

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本文估计了一个经验模型之间的选择可调利率和浮动利率抵押贷款使用一个大型的国家数据库编制的全国房地产经纪人协会。概率选择方程中的解释变量包括借款人特征、区域假人、FRM利率和FRM-ARM利率差。由于未选择的抵押贷款利率是不可观察的,因此必须以消除选择性偏差的方式估计该利率。模拟估计的选择方程提供了深入了解ARM革命的起源。版权所有1988年麻省理工学院出版社。
This paper estimates an empirical model of the choice between adjustable- and fixe d-rate mortgages using a large national database compiled by the Nat ional Association of Realtors. The explanatory variables in the probi t choice equation include borrower characteristics, regional dummies, the FRM rate, and the FRM-ARM rate differential. Since the intrerest rate on the mortgage not chosen is unobserved, this rate must be est imated in a way that eliminates selectivity bias. Simulation of the e stimated choice equation provides insight into the origin of the ARM revolution. Copyright 1988 by MIT Press.